Ottawa Centre Left- it will be back after lunch
Bob Rae for Leader, maybe.
But Bob Rae (L - 2006) as a candidate for Ottawa Centre? Why not...
This is one of the more volatile ridings in play. Virtually unaffected by vote splitting, it has been won by a former party leader, a senator, and the son of a former Ottawa Mayor. It has famously not been won, twice, by a liberal insider and martin bag-man.
The riding is a lefty as it gets in this area, maybe the province. There is assuredly something in the water in the Glebe that makes them vote with their hearts instead of their property value. Senator Harb (L- Chretien) won this vote against upstart candidates turned Layton advisors and GreenPeace lobbyists and was one of the best riding men I have ever seen. This is particularly easy when your house is actually closer to the Hill than your riding office.
In the next election, there are three complicating factors that will contribute to this riding going Liberal. First, if Rae is the leader, he is a lock. Don't hold your breath, but it could be worse. As leader he would have his pick of the litter, so he would probably run at home in TO anyway. But other leaders, most recently Stockwell Day (C - the BC interior) in Red Deer, for example, let Bob Mills (C - I don't hate Kyoto) hold the seat.
Second, if this riding is home to the Green Party leader David Chernesko (G - An inconvenient candidate) and again, don't hold your breath that he will win because Elizabeth May (G - Bill Clinton's buddy, how close is your guess) is the Paul Martin to Chernesko's Sheila Copps. Regardless, even if he does win, it will have only a marginal effect, but would likely only pull votes away from the New Democrats. Those NDPers would not be the votes that Rae would be going after anyway. Rae courts the centre left, not the wacky left.
Third, someone is going to realize very soon that Marion's son is very popular in the union, and horribly ineffective as an MP. His job is to criticize the easiest piece of legislation to criticize in the world and he has been virtually silent- taking a back seat to NDP MP Pat Martin (NDP - Portage and Main, 50 below - Supposedly an NDP MP for Winnipeg Centre; in actuality he is a Conservative apologist who is never seen in his riding, but can be found rather easily in his cottage in BC).
Why Ottawa Centre? Well, parachuting is a non-issue. Despite "living" in the riding, Ed Broadbent (NDP - comfortable) was a parachute too. He taught at Queens and McGill and is really from Oshawa. Ottawa Centre is also not a riding that would be turned off by a slip in because almost the entirety of the riding's population is from somewhere else and that is not even likely to be somewhere else in Ottawa or Ontario.
And with few provincial employees, how affected was the riding from Rae Days, anyway? I got a few more days off school. Vote Bob.
But Bob Rae (L - 2006) as a candidate for Ottawa Centre? Why not...
This is one of the more volatile ridings in play. Virtually unaffected by vote splitting, it has been won by a former party leader, a senator, and the son of a former Ottawa Mayor. It has famously not been won, twice, by a liberal insider and martin bag-man.
The riding is a lefty as it gets in this area, maybe the province. There is assuredly something in the water in the Glebe that makes them vote with their hearts instead of their property value. Senator Harb (L- Chretien) won this vote against upstart candidates turned Layton advisors and GreenPeace lobbyists and was one of the best riding men I have ever seen. This is particularly easy when your house is actually closer to the Hill than your riding office.
In the next election, there are three complicating factors that will contribute to this riding going Liberal. First, if Rae is the leader, he is a lock. Don't hold your breath, but it could be worse. As leader he would have his pick of the litter, so he would probably run at home in TO anyway. But other leaders, most recently Stockwell Day (C - the BC interior) in Red Deer, for example, let Bob Mills (C - I don't hate Kyoto) hold the seat.
Second, if this riding is home to the Green Party leader David Chernesko (G - An inconvenient candidate) and again, don't hold your breath that he will win because Elizabeth May (G - Bill Clinton's buddy, how close is your guess) is the Paul Martin to Chernesko's Sheila Copps. Regardless, even if he does win, it will have only a marginal effect, but would likely only pull votes away from the New Democrats. Those NDPers would not be the votes that Rae would be going after anyway. Rae courts the centre left, not the wacky left.
Third, someone is going to realize very soon that Marion's son is very popular in the union, and horribly ineffective as an MP. His job is to criticize the easiest piece of legislation to criticize in the world and he has been virtually silent- taking a back seat to NDP MP Pat Martin (NDP - Portage and Main, 50 below - Supposedly an NDP MP for Winnipeg Centre; in actuality he is a Conservative apologist who is never seen in his riding, but can be found rather easily in his cottage in BC).
Why Ottawa Centre? Well, parachuting is a non-issue. Despite "living" in the riding, Ed Broadbent (NDP - comfortable) was a parachute too. He taught at Queens and McGill and is really from Oshawa. Ottawa Centre is also not a riding that would be turned off by a slip in because almost the entirety of the riding's population is from somewhere else and that is not even likely to be somewhere else in Ottawa or Ontario.
And with few provincial employees, how affected was the riding from Rae Days, anyway? I got a few more days off school. Vote Bob.
posted by Atlas Hugged at
10:01 a.m.
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